Disclaimer:- The contents of this blog are for information purposes and are not recommendations to any person to Buy or Sell Securities. The informations are derived from sources that are deemed to be reliable but their accuracy and completeness are not guaranteed. The author is not responsible for any loss in investments made, acting on the recommendations made here.

Tuesday, September 22, 2015

Blast from past - Lessons on Investing

This article is a reminder to me that focus and conviction is important in investing. Here are the examples where I could have acted rationally but done otherwise.
Example 1 2012-13 : As mentioned in a previous article got to buy huge quantities of Indo Count at around 7-8 Rs only to offload major part before the major gain happened. It's a 120 bagger. Here conviction was there but focus was not. So diverted the funds elsewhere to achieve meagre returns.
Example 2 2013-14 : There was a unheard microcap company called Arrow Coated which was bought at around 8 Rs. Though the quantity was not that huge but could had impacted my portfolio had I continued to hold it. Here also I sold at meagre profit. And bought again back at higher levels. And then acted like a trader and accumulated losses. Few I'm still holding which was again bought at higher levels. So some times exactly opposite to one want and believe. It has become a 50 bagger since my first purchase.
Example 3 2014-15 : Yes 2015. Everybody knows pharma is a safe bet. On searching for a value buy came across another under research company named Mangalam Drugs. Bought heavily at around 11-12 Rs. And as there's strong conviction hold for next few months and sold  a major portion at 2.5 times. At on point felt happy with extraordinary gain. Diverted the funds to buy another stock (investor ??).  Within next few months it became another 4 bagger from my selling price. It is a 10 bagger now from my original purchase. 
These were the few examples where I didn't ride the full even after identifying right companies quite early. Though can self boast to identify the first and third company when everybody ignored them. But lack of focus and some what trader approach for quick gain killed the investor behaviour.
Though all these incidents looks natural in hindsight some lessons can be learned:-
1. Be focused and work in circle of competence.
2. Back you conviction once you convinced.
3. Remember that one is investor.
4. Invest only that money which one don't required for next few years.
5. Best stock to buy is mostly what you're already holding if one follow the above points.
6. Avoid noise.
7. Understand ones behaviour and create  a check mechanism to behave rationally. I'm still searching for one:)

Tuesday, August 18, 2015

Little Book That Builds Wealth

Recently I read a book ( feeling sorry for being so late to read it) by Mr. Pat Dorsey. The book is titled " Little Book That Builds Wealth"
Suddenly I realised.....
"My God this book is about finding / identifying companies with Economic MOATS" (the term used by legendry investor Mr. Warren Buffet). I was always confused about what it was.
Now here it is all. This book is a real eye opener with lots of examples. A must read for anybody interested in investing / valuation. It can be added with the other two Big books.... oh.... Little books, already covered in earlier post, for a must read by any investor amateur or experienced!
Salute to Mr. Dorsey to make this idea (Moat) so simple to understand and relate with. This Little book is a real Moat! for a serious investor.

My First 100 Bagger

This example will help us to understand the following things
1. The power of holding a turnaround story ie power of conviction to hold
2. Never to sell a winner
3. Retail investors can make big gains
4. And 100 baggers are real
In May 2012, I came to know about a company from the money life magazine. It appeared in the undervalued growth companies list in their microcap category.  At that time the price of stock was around 8 Rs. It was going fast YOY due to turnaround. When I discussed about it with one of my friend, a veteran in the market, he reacted positively that this company was quiet known about 10-15 years back. But nobody bothered as this was operating a sector wjich was out of flavour long back. With this background I bought few thousand shares. 
Now for few months the share traded in the same range but the company continue to appear in the list of money life. As the stock is showing sideways movement I really  stopped tracking it daily. Instead start searching for other avenues. But this company remained in my portfolio.
After about 16 months, I observed that I have got a 100% return stock as it was trading around 18 Rs. I was happy and sad that I could have bought more. But due to anchoring to my purchase price I avoided the addition. Instead I started to think of selling it. But my laziness came to rescue. My hunt for some multibagger continued ignoring the stock in my own portfolio.
The stock continue to appear in the list with many other companies of original list of money life.
Fast forward...
In Jan 2014 the stock was trading around 40. Now it became a 5 bagger for me. Still I was hunting for multibagger going through mmb, blogs, magzines etc. As of Feb 14 nobody bothered to talk about this company. On April 14 when money life launched its new paid subscription of small cap it appeared in their list along with some good names. The stock was trading around 60 Rs. Now I added few hundreds again, after it became a 8 bagger for me already. Every body was speculating that if new government  with new prime minister win the election, the sector in which this company operates will get a boost as this sector is one of the biggest employment generator. Few analyst indicated that this will be next sector which will lead the next bull market.
In Dec 14 the share was trading around 320 Rs. I was happy to identify a 40 bagger and sold most part of my holding, retaining only few hundred shares. Everyone in my circle congratulated me for this achievement. I stopped tracking the company as it was only tiny part of my  portfolio.
Last month in July 14 I observed that it is trading around 720 Rs. I got excited knowing that it become a 90 bagger and 12 bagger from my first and second purchase respectively. I wondered whether to become happy or sad as cashed out at around 320 because of profit booking without observing the fundamental which remained strong and the company continues to perform well.
Now yesterday's closing price was 910, after touching a high of 1030. That makes it a 120 bagger in approximately 40 months from my initial purchase. Though I missed a massive wealth creation but learned a few things and got a hope the 100 baggers were real in a developing country like India. Last 7 years had given us lot of 100 baggers, if we'd had belived in ourself and bought and hold on.
I will continue to hold my balance shares of this gem named Indocount, which had put a stamp again that retail investors can find multibaggers, 100 baggers. Salute to Peter Lynch who first publicised the idea through his wonderful book "One Up On Wall Street".

Tuesday, May 26, 2015

100 to 1 in Stock Markets (100 /100)!!

Read an excellent  and 'original' book by Mr. PHELPS. Written  way back in 1970s  the book give us some original ideas which is quite popular now. This book explains quite well about the 100 baggers and rule to achieve  that - "Buy Right And Sit Tight". It re emphasise the importance  on holding long. It gives us the idea of 'selling never' which is the core of Buffet's  philosophy. This book is a must read for retail  investors as it gives lot of confidence and reiterates that finding a 100 bagger is not a dream. Most under - rated book in the world of investing. Came to know about it recently as a recommendation  by Prof. Bakshi. This original should get its due credit. Earlier the book was out of print. Now available at Amazon. Highly Recommended.

Tuesday, May 12, 2015

Volatile times. Needs high conviction and patience!

Few ideas which came across recently, as the overall market become highly volatile.
1) Aimco Pesticide at 54 Rs is a good pesticide / agrochemicals play.
2) Sarup Ind at around 110 is good retail plus asset play.
3) Emmessar Bio at 19 can be a dark horse having very unique and futuristic products.
4) Allsec at 25 can be look forward at IT space.
5) International comb at 270, covered by various analysts can also be look forward for infra / asset play.

All these stocks falls under micro cap category and needs strong conviction and patience.

Disclaimer: I'm neither an analyst nor can boast of high performance investing career.  The stock listed in this blog is for my personal monitoring and learning.

Friday, May 1, 2015

The Most Important Book (Thing)!

Recently I finished reading a wonderful book named "The Most Important Thing" by Howard Marks. It is really one of the most important book written on investing. The chapters dedicated to Risk is awesome and a must read and re-read. Same about the concept of second level investors. The book pours out the immense experience of Mr Marks in a very simple manner. Written in a simple language this is a must read for all investors - beginner and experienced. Highly Recommended!

Friday, March 20, 2015

Aaditya's Blog

My son Aaditya started writing poems and stories since 2011, when he was five years old. Now today his blog is created and he shared his poem written in 2012. The link to his blog is
http://Aadithyanair.blogspot.in
Please have a look. One will enjoy the innocence and originality of a uncorrupted mind.☺